UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs Burkman

2,230

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
70% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

2,084

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.7 vs 8.6 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Josh Burkman
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 37 years vs 39 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly longer reach 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Burkman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 10:47, how much damage will he do? Lombard Burkman
Significant Strikes58
Lombard's good striking offense may be a factor against Burkman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:47
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lombard's average takedown offense is matched by Burkman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:47
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Burkman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Burkman
In 10:47, how much damage will he do? Burkman Lombard
Significant Strikes49
Burkman's average striking offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:47
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Burkman's good takedown offense may be a factor against Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:47
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Burkman is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Burkman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Burkman is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Burkman 8.5
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lombard 8.3
fighter Burkman 8.9
Great takedowns by Burkman
3 takedowns Oct 20, 2007 vs Petz
9 takedowns Jan 25, 2007 vs Reiner
4 takedowns Jul 08, 2006 vs Neer

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Burkman 7.9
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Burkman 7.7
Great submissions by Burkman
Round 1 Jun 14, 2013 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 25, 2012 vs Yager
Round 1 Jan 16, 2006 vs Fickett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Burkman 8.7
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 3, 2015UFC 182
team
VS
team
XX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Burkman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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