UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs Marquardt

2,230

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
75% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

2,037

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Significantly heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.2 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Nate Marquardt
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 37 years vs 39 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Marquardt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 9:22, how much damage will he do? Lombard Marquardt
Significant Strikes44
Lombard's good striking offense is matched by Marquardt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:22
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lombard's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Marquardt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:22
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Marquardt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nate
Marquardt
In 9:22, how much damage will he do? Marquardt Lombard
Significant Strikes49
Marquardt's good striking offense may be a factor against Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:22
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Marquardt's average takedown offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:22
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Marquardt has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Marquardt is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Marquardt is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Marquardt 8.8
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lombard 8.3
fighter Marquardt 8.4
Great takedowns by Marquardt
1 takedown Jul 14, 2012 vs Woodley
3 takedowns Mar 19, 2011 vs Miller
2 takedowns Feb 02, 2008 vs Horn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Marquardt 8.2
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Marquardt 7.9
Great submissions by Marquardt
Round 2 Feb 02, 2008 vs Horn
Round 2 Oct 10, 2006 vs Wallace
Round 3 May 01, 2005 vs Takeuchi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Marquardt 8.6
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 19, 2013UFC 166
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R1 KOX
2,1342,030
2,1691,994
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Marquardt
Read More
Lombard vs Lineker
Fantasy Cage Match
Marquardt vs Condit
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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