UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs Okami

2,230

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
61% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

2,150

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.0 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Yushin Okami
Much taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 191 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Okami’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 10:31, how much damage will he do? Lombard Okami
Significant Strikes52
Lombard's good striking offense may be a factor against Okami's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:31
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lombard's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Okami's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Okami on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yushin
Okami
In 10:31, how much damage will he do? Okami Lombard
Significant Strikes43
Okami's average striking offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:31
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Okami's average takedown offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Okami is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Okami is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Okami has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Okami 8.3
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lombard 8.3
fighter Okami 8.4
Great takedowns by Okami
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Lombard
1 takedown Dec 29, 2012 vs Belcher
1 takedown Nov 13, 2010 vs Marquardt

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Okami 7.9
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Okami 7.3
Great submissions by Lombard
Round 2 Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Starnes
Round 4 Sep 12, 2008 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Okami 8.0
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 3, 2013UFC on Fuel TV 8
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R1 KOX
2,1922,137
2,1342,195
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Okami
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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