UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs Boetsch

2,230

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
80% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

1,989

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission defense 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.0 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Tim Boetsch
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Slightly younger 36 years vs 38 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boetsch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 8:13, how much damage will he do? Lombard Boetsch
Significant Strikes45
Lombard's good striking offense may be a factor against Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:13
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lombard's average takedown offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:13
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Boetsch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Boetsch
In 8:13, how much damage will he do? Boetsch Lombard
Significant Strikes38
Boetsch's average striking offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:13
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Boetsch's average takedown offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:13
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boetsch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Boetsch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Boetsch is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Boetsch 8.5
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Boetsch 7.6
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Boetsch 7.4
Great submissions by Lombard
Round 2 Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Starnes
Round 4 Sep 12, 2008 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Boetsch 7.8
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 21, 2012UFC 149
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R2 KOX
2,2382,049
2,1632,123
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Boetsch
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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