UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs Shields

2,230

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
56% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

2,188

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 6.7 Around 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.8 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Jake Shields
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Slightly longer reach 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Shields’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 11:32, how much damage will he do? Lombard Shields
Significant Strikes52
Lombard's good striking offense is matched by Shields's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:32
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lombard's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Shields's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:32
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Shields on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jake
Shields
In 11:32, how much damage will he do? Shields Lombard
Significant Strikes56
Shields's good striking offense may be a factor against Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:32
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Shields's good takedown offense may be a factor against Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:32
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Shields is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Shields has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Shields has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Shields 8.6
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lombard 8.3
fighter Shields 9.1
Great takedowns by Shields
1 takedown Oct 09, 2013 vs Maia
4 takedowns Apr 17, 2010 vs Henderson
1 takedown Jul 26, 2008 vs Thompson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Shields 6.7
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Shields 8.0
Great submissions by Shields
Round 1 Jun 06, 2009 vs Lawler
Round 2 Oct 04, 2008 vs Daley
Round 1 Jul 26, 2008 vs Thompson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Shields 8.3
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 15, 2014UFC 171
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Shields
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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