UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs Starnes

2,230

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

1,815

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.7 vs 8.6 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.0 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 39 years vs 42 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Kalib Starnes
A lot taller 191 cm vs 175 cm Around 10% taller
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly longer reach 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Starnes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 8:27, how much damage will he do? Lombard Starnes
Significant Strikes53
Lombard's good striking offense may be a factor against Starnes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:27
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lombard's average takedown offense is matched by Starnes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:27
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Starnes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kalib
Starnes
In 8:27, how much damage will he do? Starnes Lombard
Significant Strikes37
Starnes's average striking offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:27
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Starnes's average takedown offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:27
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Starnes is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Starnes is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Starnes is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Starnes 8.5
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lombard 8.3
fighter Starnes 8.6
Great takedowns by Starnes
2 takedowns May 26, 2007 vs Leben
1 takedown Jun 24, 2006 vs Abbadi

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Starnes 7.6
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Starnes 7.6
Great submissions by Starnes
Round 2 Jan 28, 2011 vs MacGrath
Round 1 Jul 17, 2010 vs Hinchliffe
Round 2 Nov 15, 2008 vs Cisneros

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Starnes 8.2
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 KOX
2,0581,774
2,0751,758
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Starnes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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