UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs Lenogue

2,230

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
98% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

1,581

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 6.6 Around 45% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 6.1 More than 50% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission defense 9.7 vs 8.1 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.2 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 8.7 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 39 years vs 44 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Jean-Francois Lenogue
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lenogue’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 6:58, how much damage will he do? Lombard Lenogue
Significant Strikes37
Lombard's good striking offense may be a factor against Lenogue's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 63 Significant Strikes in 6:58
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lombard's average takedown offense may be a factor against Lenogue's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Lenogue on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jean-Francois
Lenogue
In 6:58, how much damage will he do? Lenogue Lombard
Significant Strikes29
Lenogue's average striking offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 63 Significant Strikes in 6:58
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lenogue's average takedown offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lenogue is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lenogue is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lenogue is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Lenogue 8.4
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Lenogue 6.1
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Lenogue 6.2
Great submissions by Lombard
Round 2 Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Starnes
Round 4 Sep 12, 2008 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Lenogue 6.6
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
DECX
1,8461,738
1,8811,703
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Lenogue
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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