UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs Hess

2,230

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
91% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

1,818

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.3 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.1 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.7 vs 8.6 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.0 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Jared Hess
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 33 years vs 38 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hess’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Hess on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jared
Hess
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hess is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hess has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hess is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Hess 7.3
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Hess 8.4
Great submissions by Hess
Round 2 Apr 29, 2010 vs McGivern
Round 1 Dec 11, 2009 vs Johnson
Round 1 Apr 17, 2009 vs Tabera

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Hess 8.4
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 19, 2009Bellator 12
team
VS
team
R4 KOX
R2 KOX
2,0331,848
2,0581,823
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Hess
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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