UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs Taylor

2,230

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

2,022

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 6.5 Around 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission defense 9.7 vs 7.9 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 8.9 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Jesse Taylor
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Taylor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 7:40, how much damage will he do? Lombard Taylor
Significant Strikes32
Lombard's good striking offense is matched by Taylor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:40
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lombard's average takedown offense is matched by Taylor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:40
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Taylor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jesse
Taylor
In 7:40, how much damage will he do? Taylor Lombard
Significant Strikes26
Taylor's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:40
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Taylor's excellent takedown offense will dominate Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:40
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Taylor is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Taylor has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Taylor is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Taylor 8.0
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lombard 8.3
fighter Taylor 9.4
Great takedowns by Taylor
1 takedown Jul 20, 2009 vs Sik Yoon

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Taylor 6.5
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Taylor 8.5
Great submissions by Taylor
Round 1 May 04, 2013 vs Phillips
Round 1 May 28, 2011 vs Kang
Round 1 Feb 05, 2010 vs Day

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Taylor 8.5
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 3, 2011AFC 2
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R2 KOX
2,2022,017
2,2281,991
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Taylor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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