UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs Romero

2,230

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

1,955

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.7 vs 8.1 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 8.5 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Yoel Romero
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Romero’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 6:07, how much damage will he do? Lombard Romero
Significant Strikes32
Lombard's good striking offense may be a factor against Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 55 Significant Strikes in 6:07
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lombard's average takedown offense is matched by Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Romero on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yoel
Romero
In 6:07, how much damage will he do? Romero Lombard
Significant Strikes32
Romero's good striking offense may be a factor against Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 55 Significant Strikes in 6:07
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Romero's average takedown offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Romero has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Romero is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Romero is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Romero 8.8
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Romero 9.0
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Romero 6.6
Great submissions by Lombard
Round 2 Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Starnes
Round 4 Sep 12, 2008 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Romero 8.1
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Romero
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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