UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs Toa

2,230

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
99% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

1,432

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.1 Around 35% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 6.8 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 7.4 Around 30% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 7.6 More than 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.7 vs 7.9 Around 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.3 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Matthew Toa
Much heavier 230 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 35% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Toa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Toa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matthew
Toa
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Toa is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Toa is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Toa is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Toa 6.8
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Toa 6.3
Great submissions by Lombard
Round 2 Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Starnes
Round 4 Sep 12, 2008 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Toa 7.1
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R3 KOX
1,6811,500
1,7071,474
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Toa
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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