UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nijem vs Ferguson

1,847

CageRank

WINNER
Ferguson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
69% chance Ferguson
WILL WIN

1,986

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tony Ferguson
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.3 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.9 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Ramsey Nijem
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Ferguson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nijem’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tony
Ferguson
In 7:23, how much damage will he do? Ferguson Nijem
Significant Strikes26
Ferguson's good striking offense won't be a factor against Nijem's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 66 Significant Strikes in 7:23
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Ferguson's average takedown offense is matched by Nijem's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:23
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ferguson has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Ferguson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ferguson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Nijem on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ferguson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ramsey
Nijem
In 7:23, how much damage will he do? Nijem Ferguson
Significant Strikes28
Nijem's average striking offense is matched by Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 66 Significant Strikes in 7:23
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Nijem's excellent takedown offense will dominate Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:23
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nijem is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nijem is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nijem has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Ferguson 8.6
fighter Nijem 8.1
Great striking by Ferguson
5 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
61 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Edwards
31 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Ferguson 8.1
fighter Nijem 9.2
Great takedowns by Nijem
5 takedowns Dec 08, 2012 vs Proctor
1 takedown Jun 22, 2012 vs Keith
8 takedowns Oct 29, 2011 vs Downes

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ferguson 8.8
fighter Nijem 7.6
Great knockouts by Ferguson
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Nijem
Round 4 Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ferguson 7.2
fighter Nijem 6.9
Great submissions by Ferguson
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
Round 1 Jan 04, 2009 vs Park
Round 2 Sep 13, 2008 vs Schilling

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ferguson 8.8
fighter Nijem 7.7
Fast finishes by Ferguson
112 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
300 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
1055 seconds Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 4, 2011TUF 13 Finale
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,6721,801
1,6401,833
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ferguson
legend Nijem
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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