UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Palhares vs Drwal

2,100

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Palhares

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
67% chance Palhares
WILL WIN

1,979

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Much better submission offense 9.7 vs 7.4 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Tomasz Drwal
Much heavier hands 8.6 vs 6.3 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
A lot taller 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Slightly younger 35 years vs 37 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Drwal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rousimar
Palhares
In 8:16, how much damage will he do? Palhares Drwal
Significant Strikes14
Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Drwal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:16
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Palhares's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Drwal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:16
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Palhares has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Drwal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tomasz
Drwal
In 8:16, how much damage will he do? Drwal Palhares
Significant Strikes32
Drwal's average striking offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:16
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Drwal's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:16
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Drwal has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Drwal is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Drwal is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Palhares 7.5
fighter Drwal 8.5
Great striking by Drwal
31 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs McFedries
27 strikes Jun 20, 2009 vs Ciesnolevicz
14 strikes Jan 17, 2009 vs Serati

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Palhares 8.3
fighter Drwal 8.7
Great takedowns by Drwal
3 takedowns Sep 19, 2009 vs McFedries
4 takedowns Jun 20, 2009 vs Ciesnolevicz
1 takedown Jan 17, 2009 vs Serati

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Palhares 6.3
fighter Drwal 8.6
Great knockouts by Drwal
Round 1 Mar 01, 2014 vs Heleno
Round 1 Jun 20, 2009 vs Ciesnolevicz
Round 1 Jan 17, 2009 vs Serati

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Palhares 9.7
fighter Drwal 7.4
Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Palhares 9.6
fighter Drwal 9.0
Fast finishes by Palhares
31 seconds Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
404 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Branch
45 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 27, 2010UFC 111
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 KO
1,9471,976
2,0011,922
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Palhares
legend Drwal
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus