UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Palhares vs Carl

2,100

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Palhares

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
57% chance Palhares
WILL WIN

2,047

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Fast finishes 9.6 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly better submission offense 9.7 vs 9.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Steve Carl
Much taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 32 years vs 37 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly heavier hands 6.5 vs 6.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carl’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rousimar
Palhares
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Palhares has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Carl on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Steve
Carl
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carl is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Carl has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carl is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Palhares 6.3
fighter Carl 6.5
Great knockouts by Carl
Round 1 Sep 27, 2008 vs Green
Round 2 Feb 25, 2006 vs Berkey

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Palhares 9.7
fighter Carl 9.5
Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Palhares 9.6
fighter Carl 9.2
Fast finishes by Palhares
31 seconds Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
404 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Branch
45 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 29, 2014WSOF 9
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Palhares
legend Carl
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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