UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mizugaki vs Faber

2,036

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
67% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 6.4 Around 50% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Takeya Mizugaki
Longer reach 177 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.8 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 33 years vs 37 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mizugaki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 12:35, how much damage will he do? Faber Mizugaki
Significant Strikes63
Faber's average striking offense is matched by Mizugaki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:35
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Faber's average takedown offense is matched by Mizugaki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:35
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Mizugaki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takeya
Mizugaki
In 12:35, how much damage will he do? Mizugaki Faber
Significant Strikes47
Mizugaki's good striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:35
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Mizugaki's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:35
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mizugaki is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mizugaki is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mizugaki has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Mizugaki 8.7
Great striking by Mizugaki
67 strikes Mar 03, 2013 vs Caraway
70 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Escovedo
40 strikes Apr 24, 2010 vs Yahya

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Mizugaki 8.6
Great takedowns by Mizugaki
2 takedowns Aug 28, 2013 vs Perez
2 takedowns Apr 24, 2010 vs Yahya
3 takedowns Aug 09, 2009 vs Curran

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Mizugaki 7.2
Great knockouts by Mizugaki
Round 2 Sep 24, 2011 vs Escovedo
Round 2 Dec 06, 2008 vs Oishi
Round 1 Jun 22, 2008 vs Fujiwara

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Mizugaki 6.4
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Mizugaki 7.3
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 11, 2010WEC 52
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR1 SUB
1,8772,017
1,8462,048
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Mizugaki
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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