UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Drwal

2,031

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
57% chance Silva
WILL WIN

1,979

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thiago Silva
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier 222 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Tomasz Drwal
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.9 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Longer reach 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Drwal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Silva
In 10:57, how much damage will he do? Silva Drwal
Significant Strikes52
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Drwal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 10:57
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Drwal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:57
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Drwal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tomasz
Drwal
In 10:57, how much damage will he do? Drwal Silva
Significant Strikes46
Drwal's average striking offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 10:57
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Drwal's average takedown offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:57
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Drwal has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Drwal is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Drwal is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Drwal 8.5
Great striking by Silva
96 strikes Oct 09, 2013 vs Hamill
37 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
48 strikes Sep 08, 2007 vs Drwal

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.3
fighter Drwal 8.7
Great takedowns by Drwal
3 takedowns Sep 19, 2009 vs McFedries
4 takedowns Jun 20, 2009 vs Ciesnolevicz
1 takedown Jan 17, 2009 vs Serati

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 8.9
fighter Drwal 8.6
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 1 Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
Round 1 Aug 29, 2009 vs Jardine
Round 2 Sep 08, 2007 vs Drwal

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 6.9
fighter Drwal 7.4
Great submissions by Drwal
Round 1 Apr 27, 2013 vs Swofford
Round 2 Sep 19, 2009 vs McFedries
Round 2 Mar 06, 2005 vs Knaap

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 8.9
fighter Drwal 9.0
Fast finishes by Drwal
243 seconds Mar 01, 2014 vs Heleno
363 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs McFedries
288 seconds Jun 20, 2009 vs Ciesnolevicz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 8, 2007UFC 75
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XR2 KO
1,8791,901
1,9321,847
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Drwal
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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