UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mendes vs Edgar

2,200

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mendes

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
60% chance Mendes
WILL WIN

2,131

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chad Mendes
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.8 vs 9.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 32 years vs 36 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Frankie Edgar
Much longer reach 183 cm vs 165 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Mendes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edgar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chad
Mendes
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Mendes Edgar
Significant Strikes66
Mendes's good striking offense is matched by Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Mendes's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mendes has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mendes is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mendes has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Edgar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mendes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frankie
Edgar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Edgar Mendes
Significant Strikes73
Edgar's excellent striking offense will dominate Mendes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Edgar's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Mendes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edgar has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Edgar is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edgar has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mendes 8.9
fighter Edgar 9.1
Great striking by Edgar
61 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
61 strikes Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
74 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mendes 9.0
fighter Edgar 9.0
Great takedowns by Edgar
3 takedowns Aug 28, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mendes 8.7
fighter Edgar 7.7
Great knockouts by Mendes
Round 3 Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins
Round 1 Jul 16, 2009 vs Siler

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mendes 7.2
fighter Edgar 7.2
Great submissions by Edgar
Round 2 Dec 05, 2009 vs Veach
Round 1 Apr 14, 2006 vs McCabe
Round 1 Dec 10, 2005 vs Isip

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mendes 8.7
fighter Edgar 7.5
Fast finishes by Mendes
630 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
68 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins
44 seconds Jul 16, 2009 vs Siler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 11, 2015TUF 22 Finale
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mendes
legend Edgar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 17 comments.
Jon jones is the best ever.. The best ever should have no holes in their game. Mcgregor shows weakness against a good takedown and has zero control on his back. Where is jon jones in trouble? Nowhere. Jon Jones is the best ever. Mcgregor is the best striker.
mcgregor would kill edgar, ko in round one.
Tell me about it man. What a night this has been. ONE punch!
conor mcgregor is the best ever.
this rockhold fight is crazy, rockhold is just too strong
I can't wait for this fight, they keep on saying that he talks and he talks but the king can do what ever the king wants to do.
So excited, can't wait to hear whining from a bunch of butthurt brazillians and people rooting against mcgregor.
That punch was crazy bro, time for mcgregor to kill aldo. Like I said before, I could be wrong with all of my picks this week except mcgregor aldo. Mcgregor is going to kill aldo, and before everyone starts making excuses for why conor won, remember that aldo is supposed to be the pound for pound number one ufc fighter ever and undefeated for ten years.
Man I was wrong on this one, unexpected. Beatiful punch on the nose. Guess connors not gonna face winner of dosanjos/cerrone yet. I reckon conor will beat edgar though.
this is one fight that you are right on, good job for agreeing with me buddy.
Chad Will win, I'll be back.
By idiots, you mean the best ufc fight picker ever, then okay.
Yeesh, the idiots are in full swing in the comments section I see.
I said, I'd knochim out in the first round, I knocked him out in the first round, you can call me mis tik mac, because I predict these things. Float like a butterfly sting like a bee, mcgergor is the real champion of ufc. float like a butterfly sting like a bee, McGregor is the ali of ufc. Four score and seven years ago, our nation, undivided except for McGregor because he is the greatest
chad mendes isoing to kill edgar and win the fight. They stood off together at the go big conference and edgars hands were shaking because deep inside he knows that he already lost the fight. Khabib will win in the comain also.
what is mendes smiling about at the conference, he acts like he beat conor when McGregor only had three weeks to prepare for mini topic when mini topic was already training that whole year for McGregor. That smile is the smile of loss.
chad mendes is a bum but edgar a fake. I told you that McGregor would win vs mini mendes and I was right and edgar is just a poor fighter and decision maker so mini mendes will win this one buddy boy.
comments powered by Disqus