UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mendes vs Siler

2,200

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mendes

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
90% chance Mendes
WILL WIN

1,815

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chad Mendes
Much better takedown defense 9.8 vs 8.1 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 6.6 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Steven Siler
Much taller 180 cm vs 168 cm Around 10% taller
Much longer reach 178 cm vs 165 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.1 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Mendes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Siler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chad
Mendes
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Mendes Siler
Significant Strikes84
Mendes's good striking offense may be a factor against Siler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Mendes's good takedown offense may be a factor against Siler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mendes has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Mendes is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mendes has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Siler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mendes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Steven
Siler
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Siler Mendes
Significant Strikes55
Siler's average striking offense won't be a factor against Mendes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Siler's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Mendes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Siler is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Siler is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Siler is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mendes 8.9
fighter Siler 8.6
Great striking by Mendes
35 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Lentz
32 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
7 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mendes 9.0
fighter Siler 8.0
Great takedowns by Mendes
7 takedowns Dec 14, 2013 vs Lentz
3 takedowns Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
4 takedowns Feb 05, 2011 vs Omigawa

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mendes 8.7
fighter Siler 6.6
Great knockouts by Mendes
Round 3 Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins
Round 1 Jul 16, 2009 vs Siler

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mendes 7.2
fighter Siler 7.8
Great submissions by Siler
Round 1 Jun 22, 2012 vs Gambino
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Mamalis
Round 2 May 17, 2008 vs Marx

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mendes 8.7
fighter Siler 8.1
Fast finishes by Mendes
630 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
68 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins
44 seconds Jul 16, 2009 vs Siler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR3 SUB
1,6401,912
1,7231,829
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mendes
legend Siler
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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