UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mendes vs Lamas

2,200

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mendes

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
62% chance Mendes
WILL WIN

2,112

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chad Mendes
Much better takedown defense 9.8 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Ricardo Lamas
Much longer reach 180 cm vs 165 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 7.1 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Mendes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lamas’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chad
Mendes
In 11:33, how much damage will he do? Mendes Lamas
Significant Strikes53
Mendes's good striking offense is matched by Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:33
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Mendes's good takedown offense may be a factor against Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:33
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mendes has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mendes is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mendes has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Lamas on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mendes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ricardo
Lamas
In 11:33, how much damage will he do? Lamas Mendes
Significant Strikes38
Lamas's average striking offense won't be a factor against Mendes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:33
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lamas's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Mendes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:33
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lamas has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lamas is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lamas has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mendes 8.9
fighter Lamas 8.4
Great striking by Mendes
35 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Lentz
32 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
7 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mendes 9.0
fighter Lamas 8.3
Great takedowns by Mendes
7 takedowns Dec 14, 2013 vs Lentz
3 takedowns Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
4 takedowns Feb 05, 2011 vs Omigawa

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mendes 8.7
fighter Lamas 8.0
Great knockouts by Mendes
Round 3 Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins
Round 1 Jul 16, 2009 vs Siler

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mendes 7.2
fighter Lamas 7.4
Great submissions by Lamas
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Swanson
Round 4 Apr 26, 2008 vs Ferry
Round 1 Jan 25, 2008 vs Corry

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mendes 8.7
fighter Lamas 8.1
Fast finishes by Mendes
630 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
68 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins
44 seconds Jul 16, 2009 vs Siler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 4, 2015UFC Fight Night 63
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mendes
legend Lamas
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Lamas got KTFO!
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