UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mendes vs Jury

2,200

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mendes

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
66% chance Mendes
WILL WIN

2,085

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chad Mendes
Much better takedown defense 9.8 vs 8.3 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Myles Jury
Much longer reach 185 cm vs 165 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much taller 180 cm vs 168 cm Around 10% taller
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Mendes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jury’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chad
Mendes
In 11:17, how much damage will he do? Mendes Jury
Significant Strikes50
Mendes's good striking offense is matched by Jury's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:17
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Mendes's good takedown offense may be a factor against Jury's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:17
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mendes has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mendes is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mendes has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Jury on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mendes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Myles
Jury
In 11:17, how much damage will he do? Jury Mendes
Significant Strikes33
Jury's average striking offense won't be a factor against Mendes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:17
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Jury's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Mendes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:17
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jury has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Jury is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jury is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mendes 8.9
fighter Jury 8.2
Great striking by Mendes
35 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Lentz
32 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
7 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mendes 9.0
fighter Jury 8.8
Great takedowns by Mendes
7 takedowns Dec 14, 2013 vs Lentz
3 takedowns Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
4 takedowns Feb 05, 2011 vs Omigawa

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mendes 8.7
fighter Jury 7.9
Great knockouts by Mendes
Round 3 Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins
Round 1 Jul 16, 2009 vs Siler

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mendes 7.2
fighter Jury 7.6
Great submissions by Jury
Round 1 Jun 01, 2012 vs Saunders
Round 1 Sep 17, 2010 vs Oropeza
Round 1 Nov 26, 2008 vs Ajian

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mendes 8.7
fighter Jury 8.7
Fast finishes by Mendes
630 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
68 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins
44 seconds Jul 16, 2009 vs Siler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 14, 2018UFC Fight Night 133
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mendes
legend Jury
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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