UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mendes vs Encarnacion

2,200

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mendes

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
99% chance Mendes
WILL WIN

1,287

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chad Mendes
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 6.5 Around 35% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 6.5 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Much heavier 144 lbs vs 139 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 6.7 More than 35% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 6.8 More than 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 7.1 vs 6.3 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Giovanni Encarnacion
From what we can tell, Chad Mendes dominates Giovanni Encarnacion in every way.
Mendes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Encarnacion’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chad
Mendes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mendes has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Mendes has a chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Below average
Resistance
Decision
Mendes has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Encarnacion on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mendes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Giovanni
Encarnacion
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Encarnacion is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Encarnacion is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Encarnacion is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mendes 8.7
fighter Encarnacion 6.5
Great knockouts by Mendes
Round 3 Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins
Round 1 Jul 16, 2009 vs Siler

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mendes 7.2
fighter Encarnacion 6.3
Great submissions by Mendes
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Morrison
Round 1 Sep 26, 2008 vs Encarnacion

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mendes 8.7
fighter Encarnacion 6.5
Fast finishes by Mendes
630 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
68 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins
44 seconds Jul 16, 2009 vs Siler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 26, 2008PFC 10
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,5001,479
1,5471,432
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mendes
legend Encarnacion
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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