UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jorgensen vs Faber

1,858

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
85% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.5 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.3 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Longer reach 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Scott Jorgensen
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.8 Almost the same
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jorgensen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 10:13, how much damage will he do? Faber Jorgensen
Significant Strikes52
Faber's average striking offense is matched by Jorgensen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:13
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Faber's average takedown offense is matched by Jorgensen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:13
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Jorgensen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Scott
Jorgensen
In 10:13, how much damage will he do? Jorgensen Faber
Significant Strikes37
Jorgensen's good striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:13
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Jorgensen's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:13
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jorgensen is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jorgensen is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jorgensen is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Jorgensen 8.7
Great striking by Jorgensen
84 strikes Aug 18, 2010 vs Pickett
93 strikes Apr 24, 2010 vs Banuelos
59 strikes Dec 19, 2009 vs Mizugaki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Jorgensen 8.1
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Jorgensen 7.0
Great knockouts by Jorgensen
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Stone
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Thomas

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Jorgensen 7.5
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Jorgensen 7.8
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 13, 2013TUF 17 Finale
team
VS
team
XR4 SUB
XR1 SUB
1,9202,070
1,8902,099
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Jorgensen
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Faber vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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