UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jorgensen vs Reis

1,858

CageRank

WINNER
Reis

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Reis
WILL WIN

1,952

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Wilson Reis
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 32 years vs 35 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Scott Jorgensen
Much heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 165 cm vs 163 cm Almost the same
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly longer reach 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Reis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jorgensen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Wilson
Reis
In 12:55, how much damage will he do? Reis Jorgensen
Significant Strikes55
Reis's average striking offense is matched by Jorgensen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 116 Significant Strikes in 12:55
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Reis's good takedown offense may be a factor against Jorgensen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:55
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Reis is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Reis has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Reis has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Jorgensen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Reis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Scott
Jorgensen
In 12:55, how much damage will he do? Jorgensen Reis
Significant Strikes65
Jorgensen's good striking offense may be a factor against Reis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 116 Significant Strikes in 12:55
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Jorgensen's average takedown offense is matched by Reis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jorgensen is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Jorgensen is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jorgensen has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Reis 8.3
fighter Jorgensen 8.7
Great striking by Jorgensen
84 strikes Aug 18, 2010 vs Pickett
93 strikes Apr 24, 2010 vs Banuelos
59 strikes Dec 19, 2009 vs Mizugaki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Reis 8.8
fighter Jorgensen 8.1
Great takedowns by Reis
4 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Menjivar

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Reis 6.3
fighter Jorgensen 7.0
Great knockouts by Jorgensen
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Stone
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Thomas

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Reis 8.4
fighter Jorgensen 7.5
Great submissions by Reis
Round 3 Dec 08, 2012 vs Roddy
Round 1 Dec 16, 2011 vs Menezes
Round 1 Mar 19, 2011 vs George

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Reis 7.7
fighter Jorgensen 7.8
Fast finishes by Jorgensen
31 seconds Mar 06, 2010 vs George
193 seconds Oct 10, 2009 vs Thomas
69 seconds Jan 25, 2009 vs Gomez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 25, 2014UFC 179
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Reis
legend Jorgensen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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