UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dias vs Lentz

1,942

CageRank

WINNER
Lentz

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
68% chance Lentz
WILL WIN

2,069

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nik Lentz
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.6 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Hacran Dias
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Lentz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dias’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nik
Lentz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lentz Dias
Significant Strikes75
Lentz's good striking offense may be a factor against Dias's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Lentz's excellent takedown offense will dominate Dias's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lentz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lentz is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lentz has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Dias on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lentz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hacran
Dias
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Dias Lentz
Significant Strikes57
Dias's average striking offense is matched by Lentz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Dias's average takedown offense is matched by Lentz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dias is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dias is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dias is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lentz 8.8
fighter Dias 8.3
Great striking by Lentz
42 strikes May 18, 2013 vs Dias
56 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Nunes
33 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lentz 9.3
fighter Dias 8.7
Great takedowns by Lentz
4 takedowns May 18, 2013 vs Dias
10 takedowns Jan 19, 2013 vs Nunes
4 takedowns Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lentz 7.2
fighter Dias 6.6
Great knockouts by Lentz
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Sep 06, 2006 vs Jefferson
Round 1 Sep 06, 2006 vs Vanier

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lentz 7.4
fighter Dias 7.9
Great submissions by Dias
Round 2 Dec 02, 2011 vs Dantas
Round 1 Aug 25, 2011 vs Hoch
Round 1 May 09, 2009 vs Mazihov

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lentz 7.5
fighter Dias 7.9
Fast finishes by Dias
300 seconds Dec 02, 2011 vs Dantas
205 seconds Aug 25, 2011 vs Hoch
300 seconds Mar 24, 2007 vs Careca
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 18, 2013UFC on FX 8
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
DECX
2,0292,023
1,9782,074
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lentz
legend Dias
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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