UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Makdessi vs Medeiros

1,878

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Makdessi

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
59% chance Makdessi
WILL WIN

1,812

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for John Makdessi
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Yancy Medeiros
Much stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.3 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much longer reach 196 cm vs 173 cm Around 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.3 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 29 years vs 31 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Makdessi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Medeiros’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Makdessi
In 11:03, how much damage will he do? Makdessi Medeiros
Significant Strikes58
Makdessi's good striking offense may be a factor against Medeiros's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 11:03
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Makdessi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Medeiros's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:03
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Makdessi has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Makdessi is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Makdessi is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Medeiros on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Makdessi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yancy
Medeiros
In 11:03, how much damage will he do? Medeiros Makdessi
Significant Strikes51
Medeiros's average striking offense is matched by Makdessi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 11:03
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Medeiros's average takedown offense is matched by Makdessi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Medeiros has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Medeiros is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Medeiros is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Makdessi 8.9
fighter Medeiros 8.3
Great striking by Makdessi
86 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Cruickshank
84 strikes Nov 17, 2012 vs Stout
50 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Watson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Makdessi 8.3
fighter Medeiros 8.2
Great knockouts by Makdessi
Round 1 Sep 21, 2013 vs Forte
Round 3 Apr 30, 2011 vs Watson
Round 2 Feb 26, 2010 vs Hawkes

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Makdessi 6.3
fighter Medeiros 6.8
Great submissions by Medeiros
Round 1 Dec 12, 2014 vs Proctor
Round 2 Aug 30, 2014 vs Jackson
Round 1 Mar 21, 2009 vs Yasui

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Makdessi 7.7
fighter Medeiros 8.0
Fast finishes by Medeiros
143 seconds Aug 22, 2009 vs Prados
106 seconds Mar 21, 2009 vs Yasui
637 seconds Nov 15, 2008 vs Suganuma
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 12, 2015UFC 194
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Makdessi
legend Medeiros
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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