UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sakara vs Leites

1,737

CageRank

WINNER
Leites

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Leites
WILL WIN

2,122

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thales Leites
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 6.1 More than 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.4 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 7.9 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much longer reach 198 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Alessio Sakara
Better striker 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 8.0 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Leites on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sakara’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thales
Leites
In 5:52, how much damage will he do? Leites Sakara
Significant Strikes25
Leites's below average striking offense is matched by Sakara's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 53 Significant Strikes in 5:52
Below average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Leites's good takedown offense may be a factor against Sakara's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:52
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Leites is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Leites has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Leites is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sakara on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Leites’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alessio
Sakara
In 5:52, how much damage will he do? Sakara Leites
Significant Strikes25
Sakara's excellent striking offense is matched by Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 53 Significant Strikes in 5:52
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Sakara's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:52
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sakara is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sakara is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sakara is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Leites 7.9
fighter Sakara 9.0
Great striking by Sakara
13 strikes Mar 21, 2010 vs Irvin
24 strikes Aug 08, 2009 vs Leites
8 strikes Jan 19, 2008 vs Lee

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Leites 9.1
fighter Sakara 7.4
Great takedowns by Leites
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Herman
5 takedowns Aug 03, 2013 vs Watson
3 takedowns Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Leites 7.1
fighter Sakara 8.0
Great knockouts by Sakara
Round 1 Mar 21, 2010 vs Irvin
Round 1 Jan 19, 2008 vs Lee
Round 1 Apr 21, 2007 vs Valimaki

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Leites 8.6
fighter Sakara 6.1
Great submissions by Leites
Round 2 Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
Round 1 Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Round 3 Jul 02, 2005 vs Machado

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Leites 8.8
fighter Sakara 8.2
Fast finishes by Leites
513 seconds Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
147 seconds May 07, 2010 vs Taylor
227 seconds Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 8, 2009UFC 101
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR2 SUB
1,7942,026
1,8731,947
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Leites
legend Sakara
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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