UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sakara vs Weidman

1,737

CageRank

WINNER
Weidman

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
95% chance Weidman
WILL WIN

2,260

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 7.4 Around 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.1 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much longer reach 198 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Younger 32 years vs 35 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Alessio Sakara
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sakara’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 4:54, how much damage will he do? Weidman Sakara
Significant Strikes30
Weidman's good striking offense may be a factor against Sakara's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 44 Significant Strikes in 4:54
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Weidman's excellent takedown offense will dominate Sakara's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 4:54
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sakara on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alessio
Sakara
In 4:54, how much damage will he do? Sakara Weidman
Significant Strikes19
Sakara's excellent striking offense is matched by Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 44 Significant Strikes in 4:54
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Sakara's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 4:54
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sakara is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sakara is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sakara is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Sakara 9.0
Great striking by Sakara
13 strikes Mar 21, 2010 vs Irvin
24 strikes Aug 08, 2009 vs Leites
8 strikes Jan 19, 2008 vs Lee

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Weidman 9.6
fighter Sakara 7.4
Great takedowns by Weidman
1 takedown Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
4 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Sakara 8.0
Great knockouts by Weidman
Round 2 Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Weidman 7.8
fighter Sakara 6.1
Great submissions by Weidman
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Lawlor
Round 1 Jun 11, 2011 vs Bongfeldt
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Lopes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Weidman 9.1
fighter Sakara 8.2
Fast finishes by Weidman
376 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
378 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
397 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R2 KOX
1,9201,736
1,8461,811
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Weidman
legend Sakara
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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