UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Prater vs Condit

1,795

CageRank

WINNER
Condit

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
87% chance Condit
WILL WIN

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Carlos Condit
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 6.0 Around 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 192 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Younger 34 years vs 37 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Carlo Prater
Much better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Condit on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Prater’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlos
Condit
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Condit Prater
Significant Strikes97
Condit's good striking offense may be a factor against Prater's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Condit's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Prater's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Condit has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Condit is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Condit has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Prater on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Condit’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlo
Prater
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Prater Condit
Significant Strikes30
Prater's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Prater's below average takedown offense is matched by Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Prater is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Prater has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Prater is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Condit 8.9
fighter Prater 8.0
Great striking by Condit
100 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
151 strikes Feb 04, 2012 vs Diaz
26 strikes Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Condit 8.8
fighter Prater 6.0
Great knockouts by Condit
Round 4 Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Condit 7.9
fighter Prater 8.2
Great submissions by Prater
Round 2 Sep 06, 2011 vs Santos
Round 1 Feb 18, 2011 vs Travers
Round 1 Dec 19, 2003 vs Guillard

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Condit 8.7
fighter Prater 8.3
Fast finishes by Condit
954 seconds Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
267 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy
141 seconds Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 13, 2008WEC 32
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR1 SUB
1,9242,014
1,8872,052
September 11, 2004FW 2 - Fightworld 2
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R1 SUBX
1,8341,818
1,8811,770
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Condit
legend Prater
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus