UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brown vs Thompson

2,072

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Brown

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
73% chance Brown
WILL WIN

1,900

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Matt Brown
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Stephen Thompson
Younger 35 years vs 37 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Brown on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Thompson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Brown
In 9:56, how much damage will he do? Brown Thompson
Significant Strikes60
Brown's excellent striking offense will dominate Thompson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:56
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Brown's average takedown offense is matched by Thompson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brown has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brown is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Brown is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Thompson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brown’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stephen
Thompson
In 9:56, how much damage will he do? Thompson Brown
Significant Strikes43
Thompson's good striking offense is matched by Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:56
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Thompson's average takedown offense is matched by Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Thompson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Thompson is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Thompson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Brown 9.1
fighter Thompson 8.9
Great striking by Brown
10 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
40 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
25 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Brown 8.1
fighter Thompson 8.1
Great takedowns by Brown
1 takedown Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick
5 takedowns Apr 21, 2012 vs Thompson
3 takedowns Jun 26, 2011 vs Howard

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Brown 9.3
fighter Thompson 8.6
Great knockouts by Brown
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
Round 2 Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
Round 2 Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Brown 6.8
fighter Thompson 6.8
Great submissions by Thompson
Round 2 Sep 18, 2010 vs Worrell

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Brown 8.5
fighter Thompson 8.1
Fast finishes by Brown
29 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
360 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
451 seconds Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 21, 2012UFC 145
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R1 KOX
1,7801,772
1,8291,724
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Brown
legend Thompson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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