UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brown vs Pyle

2,072

CageRank

WINNER
Pyle

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Pyle
WILL WIN

2,098

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mike Pyle
Significantly better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Matt Brown
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 36 years vs 42 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.9 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Pyle on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brown’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Pyle
In 12:34, how much damage will he do? Pyle Brown
Significant Strikes40
Pyle's average striking offense won't be a factor against Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:34
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pyle's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:34
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pyle has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pyle has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Pyle is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Brown on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pyle’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Brown
In 12:34, how much damage will he do? Brown Pyle
Significant Strikes82
Brown's excellent striking offense will dominate Pyle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:34
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Brown's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Pyle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:34
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brown has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brown is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brown is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Pyle 8.3
fighter Brown 9.1
Great striking by Brown
10 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
40 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
25 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Pyle 7.9
fighter Brown 8.1
Great takedowns by Brown
1 takedown Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick
5 takedowns Apr 21, 2012 vs Thompson
3 takedowns Jun 26, 2011 vs Howard

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Pyle 8.1
fighter Brown 9.3
Great knockouts by Brown
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
Round 2 Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
Round 2 Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pyle 7.8
fighter Brown 6.8
Great submissions by Pyle
Round 3 Jun 12, 2010 vs Lennox
Round 3 Sep 16, 2009 vs Wilson
Round 1 May 18, 2008 vs Hornbuckle

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pyle 8.5
fighter Brown 8.5
Fast finishes by Pyle
115 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Head
296 seconds Jun 08, 2012 vs Neer
292 seconds May 18, 2008 vs Hornbuckle
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 17, 2013UFC Fight Night 26
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 SUB
2,0142,139
2,0812,072
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pyle
legend Brown
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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