UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brown vs Lawler

2,072

CageRank

WINNER
Lawler

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
65% chance Lawler
WILL WIN

2,180

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Robbie Lawler
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.9 vs 9.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Matt Brown
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.4 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Longer reach 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Lawler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brown’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robbie
Lawler
In 11:49, how much damage will he do? Lawler Brown
Significant Strikes48
Lawler's good striking offense is matched by Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:49
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lawler's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:49
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lawler has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lawler is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lawler is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Brown on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lawler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Brown
In 11:49, how much damage will he do? Brown Lawler
Significant Strikes59
Brown's excellent striking offense will dominate Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:49
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Brown's average takedown offense is matched by Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:49
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brown has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brown is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brown is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter Brown 9.1
Great striking by Brown
10 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
40 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
25 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lawler 7.4
fighter Brown 8.1
Great takedowns by Brown
1 takedown Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick
5 takedowns Apr 21, 2012 vs Thompson
3 takedowns Jun 26, 2011 vs Howard

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lawler 9.3
fighter Brown 9.3
Great knockouts by Lawler
Round 1 Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
Round 2 Jul 23, 2005 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lawler 6.3
fighter Brown 6.8
Great submissions by Brown
Round 2 Nov 15, 2008 vs Thomas
Round 1 Oct 20, 2006 vs Nickoson
Round 1 May 20, 2006 vs King

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter Brown 8.5
Fast finishes by Lawler
237 seconds Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
213 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
22 seconds Oct 21, 2006 vs Villasenor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 26, 2014UFC on Fox 12
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lawler
legend Brown
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Lawler vs St. Pierre
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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