UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Velasquez

2,048

CageRank

WINNER
Velasquez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
73% chance Velasquez
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cain Velasquez
Better striker 10.0 vs 8.7 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.7 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier hands 10.0 vs 8.9 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 34 years vs 37 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Antonio Silva
Significantly longer reach 208 cm vs 196 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 241 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
A lot taller 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 7.0 vs 6.7 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cain
Velasquez
In 8:55, how much damage will he do? Velasquez Silva
Significant Strikes65
Velasquez's excellent striking offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:55
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Velasquez's excellent takedown offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:55
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Silva
In 8:55, how much damage will he do? Silva Velasquez
Significant Strikes23
Silva's good striking offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:55
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Silva's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Silva 8.7
Great striking by Velasquez
18 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Silva
111 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
23 strikes Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Velasquez 9.2
fighter Silva 8.1
Great takedowns by Velasquez
2 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
11 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs dos Santos
5 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Rothwell

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Velasquez 10.0
fighter Silva 8.9
Great knockouts by Velasquez
Round 5 Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Silva
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Velasquez 6.7
fighter Silva 7.0
Great submissions by Silva
Round 1 Sep 23, 2009 vs Yorke
Round 1 Nov 10, 2007 vs Wiezorek
Round 1 May 21, 2005 vs Tchinda

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Velasquez 9.4
fighter Silva 8.6
Fast finishes by Velasquez
1389 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs dos Santos
81 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Silva
140 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Nogueira
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 25, 2013UFC 160
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
2,1122,128
2,0652,176
May 26, 2012UFC 146
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R2 KOX
2,0602,006
2,0022,064
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Velasquez
legend Silva
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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