UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Khabilov vs Pichel

2,000

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Khabilov

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
72% chance Khabilov
WILL WIN

1,840

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rustam Khabilov
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 7.0 vs 6.4 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 30 years vs 34 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer winning streak 4 fights vs 3 fights Around 35% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Longer reach 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Vinc Pichel
Significantly heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Khabilov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pichel’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rustam
Khabilov
In 9:38, how much damage will he do? Khabilov Pichel
Significant Strikes46
Khabilov's average striking offense is matched by Pichel's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Khabilov's good takedown offense may be a factor against Pichel's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:38
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Khabilov is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Khabilov is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Khabilov is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Pichel on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Khabilov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vinc
Pichel
In 9:38, how much damage will he do? Pichel Khabilov
Significant Strikes31
Pichel's average striking offense is matched by Khabilov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Pichel's average takedown offense is matched by Khabilov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pichel has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pichel is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pichel is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Khabilov 8.4
fighter Pichel 8.2
Great striking by Khabilov
32 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Masvidal
3 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Medeiros
13 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Pichel

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Khabilov 9.0
fighter Pichel 8.6
Great takedowns by Khabilov
2 takedowns Nov 06, 2013 vs Masvidal
1 takedown Apr 27, 2013 vs Medeiros
5 takedowns Dec 15, 2012 vs Pichel

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Khabilov 7.6
fighter Pichel 8.4
Great knockouts by Pichel
Round 2 Mar 25, 2011 vs Bahntge
Round 2 Jan 15, 2011 vs Chavez
Round 2 Jun 04, 2010 vs McDavitt

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Khabilov 7.0
fighter Pichel 6.4
Great submissions by Khabilov
Round 1 May 07, 2010 vs Balakhonov
Round 1 Apr 19, 2009 vs Papusha
Round 2 Aug 03, 2007 vs Abasov

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Khabilov 8.1
fighter Pichel 7.8
Fast finishes by Khabilov
152 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Medeiros
135 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Pichel
8 seconds Aug 16, 2009 vs Duran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 15, 2012TUF 16 Finale
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
1,8721,753
1,9051,719
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Khabilov
legend Pichel
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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