UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Khabilov vs Medeiros

2,000

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Khabilov

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
75% chance Khabilov
WILL WIN

1,812

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rustam Khabilov
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 7.0 vs 6.8 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Yancy Medeiros
Significantly heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 196 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Khabilov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Medeiros’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rustam
Khabilov
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Khabilov Medeiros
Significant Strikes60
Khabilov's average striking offense is matched by Medeiros's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Khabilov's good takedown offense may be a factor against Medeiros's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Khabilov is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Khabilov is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Khabilov is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Medeiros on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Khabilov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yancy
Medeiros
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Medeiros Khabilov
Significant Strikes53
Medeiros's average striking offense is matched by Khabilov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Medeiros's average takedown offense is matched by Khabilov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Medeiros has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Medeiros is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Medeiros is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Khabilov 8.4
fighter Medeiros 8.3
Great striking by Khabilov
32 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Masvidal
3 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Medeiros
13 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Pichel

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Khabilov 9.0
fighter Medeiros 8.3
Great takedowns by Khabilov
2 takedowns Nov 06, 2013 vs Masvidal
1 takedown Apr 27, 2013 vs Medeiros
5 takedowns Dec 15, 2012 vs Pichel

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Khabilov 7.6
fighter Medeiros 8.2
Great knockouts by Medeiros
Round 2 Jun 26, 2010 vs Joseph
Round 1 Aug 22, 2009 vs Prados
Round 3 Nov 15, 2008 vs Suganuma

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Khabilov 7.0
fighter Medeiros 6.8
Great submissions by Khabilov
Round 1 May 07, 2010 vs Balakhonov
Round 1 Apr 19, 2009 vs Papusha
Round 2 Aug 03, 2007 vs Abasov

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Khabilov 8.1
fighter Medeiros 8.0
Fast finishes by Khabilov
152 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Medeiros
135 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Pichel
8 seconds Aug 16, 2009 vs Duran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 27, 2013UFC 159
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
1,9051,872
1,9501,827
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Khabilov
legend Medeiros
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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