UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Schaub vs Mitrione

1,890

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Schaub

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
58% chance Schaub
WILL WIN

1,836

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Brendan Schaub
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 34 years vs 39 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Matt Mitrione
Longer reach 208 cm vs 199 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 255 lbs vs 237 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Schaub on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mitrione’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brendan
Schaub
In 10:02, how much damage will he do? Schaub Mitrione
Significant Strikes50
Schaub's good striking offense may be a factor against Mitrione's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 10:02
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Schaub's average takedown offense is matched by Mitrione's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:02
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Schaub has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Schaub has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Schaub has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Mitrione on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Schaub’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Mitrione
In 10:02, how much damage will he do? Mitrione Schaub
Significant Strikes47
Mitrione's good striking offense may be a factor against Schaub's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 10:02
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Mitrione's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Schaub's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:02
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mitrione has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mitrione is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mitrione is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Schaub 8.9
fighter Mitrione 8.7
Great striking by Schaub
40 strikes Mar 19, 2011 vs Filipovic
53 strikes Oct 23, 2010 vs Gonzaga
10 strikes Jul 03, 2010 vs Tuchscherer

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Schaub 8.5
fighter Mitrione 7.3
Great takedowns by Schaub
1 takedown Sep 21, 2013 vs Mitrione
5 takedowns Feb 23, 2013 vs Johnson
4 takedowns Mar 19, 2011 vs Filipovic

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Schaub 8.2
fighter Mitrione 8.8
Great knockouts by Mitrione
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs De Fries
Round 2 Jun 26, 2011 vs Morecraft
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Hague

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Schaub 7.0
fighter Mitrione 6.8
Great submissions by Schaub
Round 1 Sep 21, 2013 vs Mitrione
Round 1 Jun 12, 2009 vs Rogers

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Schaub 8.3
fighter Mitrione 8.3
Fast finishes by Schaub
246 seconds Sep 21, 2013 vs Mitrione
824 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Filipovic
67 seconds Jul 03, 2010 vs Tuchscherer
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 21, 2013UFC 165
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R1 KOX
1,8801,817
1,9211,776
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Schaub
legend Mitrione
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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