UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dodson vs Elliott

1,994

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Dodson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
78% chance Dodson
WILL WIN

1,773

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for John Dodson
Much heavier hands 8.6 vs 7.2 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Longer reach 168 cm vs 166 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Timothy Elliott
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.3 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much taller 170 cm vs 160 cm More than 5% taller
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Dodson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Elliott’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Dodson
In 11:32, how much damage will he do? Dodson Elliott
Significant Strikes61
Dodson's good striking offense may be a factor against Elliott's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:32
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Dodson's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Elliott's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:32
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dodson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dodson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Dodson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Elliott on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dodson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Timothy
Elliott
In 11:32, how much damage will he do? Elliott Dodson
Significant Strikes55
Elliott's good striking offense may be a factor against Dodson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:32
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Elliott's good takedown offense is matched by Dodson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:32
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Elliott is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Elliott is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Elliott is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Dodson 8.7
fighter Elliott 8.6
Great striking by Dodson
28 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Montague
33 strikes Oct 05, 2012 vs da Silva
80 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Elliott

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Dodson 7.8
fighter Elliott 8.8
Great takedowns by Elliott
6 takedowns Aug 31, 2013 vs Gaudinot
7 takedowns Dec 15, 2012 vs Papazian

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Dodson 8.6
fighter Elliott 7.2
Great knockouts by Dodson
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Montague
Round 2 Oct 05, 2012 vs da Silva
Round 1 Dec 03, 2011 vs Dillashaw

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Dodson 6.3
fighter Elliott 7.3
Great submissions by Elliott
Round 1 Mar 30, 2012 vs Rave
Round 3 Jun 25, 2010 vs Fuller
Round 1 Apr 02, 2010 vs Casteel

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Dodson 7.9
fighter Elliott 7.7
Fast finishes by Dodson
253 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Montague
575 seconds Oct 05, 2012 vs da Silva
114 seconds Dec 03, 2011 vs Dillashaw
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 5, 2012UFC on Fox 3
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R1 KOX
1,8111,780
1,8561,734
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Dodson
legend Elliott
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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