UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dodson vs Moraga

1,994

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Dodson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
64% chance Dodson
WILL WIN

1,891

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for John Dodson
Much heavier hands 8.6 vs 6.8 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for John Moraga
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.3 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 168 cm vs 160 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Dodson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moraga’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Dodson
In 12:09, how much damage will he do? Dodson Moraga
Significant Strikes64
Dodson's good striking offense may be a factor against Moraga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:09
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Dodson's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Moraga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:09
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dodson has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Dodson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Dodson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Moraga on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dodson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Moraga
In 12:09, how much damage will he do? Moraga Dodson
Significant Strikes56
Moraga's average striking offense is matched by Dodson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:09
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Moraga's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Dodson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moraga is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Moraga is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Moraga has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Dodson 8.7
fighter Moraga 8.6
Great striking by Dodson
28 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Montague
33 strikes Oct 05, 2012 vs da Silva
80 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Elliott

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Dodson 7.8
fighter Moraga 8.1
Great takedowns by Moraga
2 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs Cariaso

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Dodson 8.6
fighter Moraga 6.8
Great knockouts by Dodson
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Montague
Round 2 Oct 05, 2012 vs da Silva
Round 1 Dec 03, 2011 vs Dillashaw

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Dodson 6.3
fighter Moraga 7.6
Great submissions by Moraga
Round 3 Dec 29, 2012 vs Cariaso
Round 1 Nov 05, 2011 vs Lux
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Halverson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Dodson 7.9
fighter Moraga 7.5
Fast finishes by Dodson
253 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Montague
575 seconds Oct 05, 2012 vs da Silva
114 seconds Dec 03, 2011 vs Dillashaw
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 7, 2014UFC Fight Night 42
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XX
00
00
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
1,7181,732
1,7701,680
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Dodson
legend Moraga
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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