UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - da Silva vs Jorgensen

1,958

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
da Silva

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
64% chance da Silva
WILL WIN

1,858

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jussier da Silva
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Slightly younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Scott Jorgensen
Significantly heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
da Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jorgensen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jussier
da Silva
In 12:21, how much damage will he do? da Silva Jorgensen
Significant Strikes49
da Silva's average striking offense is matched by Jorgensen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:21
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
da Silva's average takedown offense is matched by Jorgensen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
da Silva is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
da Silva has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
da Silva has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Jorgensen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against da Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Scott
Jorgensen
In 12:21, how much damage will he do? Jorgensen da Silva
Significant Strikes64
Jorgensen's good striking offense may be a factor against da Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:21
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Jorgensen's average takedown offense is matched by da Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jorgensen is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Jorgensen is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jorgensen is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter da Silva 8.1
fighter Jorgensen 8.7
Great striking by Jorgensen
84 strikes Aug 18, 2010 vs Pickett
93 strikes Apr 24, 2010 vs Banuelos
59 strikes Dec 19, 2009 vs Mizugaki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter da Silva 8.4
fighter Jorgensen 8.1
Great takedowns by da Silva
4 takedowns May 18, 2013 vs Cariaso

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter da Silva 6.3
fighter Jorgensen 7.0
Great knockouts by Jorgensen
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Stone
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Thomas

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter da Silva 8.5
fighter Jorgensen 7.5
Great submissions by da Silva
Round 1 Dec 15, 2011 vs Favacho dos Santos
Round 1 Aug 30, 2008 vs Alves
Round 1 Mar 09, 2008 vs Maria Tome

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter da Silva 8.0
fighter Jorgensen 7.8
Fast finishes by da Silva
232 seconds Dec 15, 2011 vs Favacho dos Santos
106 seconds Aug 30, 2008 vs Alves
221 seconds Mar 09, 2008 vs Maria Tome
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 23, 2014UFC Fight Night 38
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend da Silva
legend Jorgensen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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