UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - da Silva vs Pettis

1,958

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
da Silva

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
55% chance da Silva
WILL WIN

1,925

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jussier da Silva
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Sergio Pettis
Much heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.3 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 25 years vs 33 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
da Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jussier
da Silva
In 12:24, how much damage will he do? da Silva Pettis
Significant Strikes49
da Silva's average striking offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:24
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
da Silva's average takedown offense may be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:24
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
da Silva is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
da Silva has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
da Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against da Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sergio
Pettis
In 12:24, how much damage will he do? Pettis da Silva
Significant Strikes62
Pettis's average striking offense is matched by da Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:24
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Pettis's average takedown offense is matched by da Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:24
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Pettis is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter da Silva 8.1
fighter Pettis 8.6
Great striking by Pettis
81 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Campuzano

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter da Silva 8.4
fighter Pettis 8.4
Great takedowns by Pettis
2 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Campuzano

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter da Silva 6.3
fighter Pettis 7.3
Great knockouts by Pettis
Round 1 Jun 21, 2013 vs Pegg
Round 2 Nov 18, 2011 vs Zelinski
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Winski

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter da Silva 8.5
fighter Pettis 7.3
Great submissions by da Silva
Round 1 Dec 15, 2011 vs Favacho dos Santos
Round 1 Aug 30, 2008 vs Alves
Round 1 Mar 09, 2008 vs Maria Tome

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter da Silva 8.0
fighter Pettis 7.9
Fast finishes by da Silva
232 seconds Dec 15, 2011 vs Favacho dos Santos
106 seconds Aug 30, 2008 vs Alves
221 seconds Mar 09, 2008 vs Maria Tome
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend da Silva
legend Pettis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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