UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Trujillo vs Dunham

1,928

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Trujillo

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
56% chance Trujillo
WILL WIN

1,886

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Abel Trujillo
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Evan Dunham
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.2 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer winning streak 4 fights vs 3 fights Around 35% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Trujillo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dunham’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Abel
Trujillo
In 11:24, how much damage will he do? Trujillo Dunham
Significant Strikes61
Trujillo's average striking offense is matched by Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:24
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Trujillo's good takedown offense is matched by Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:24
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Trujillo has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Trujillo is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Trujillo is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Dunham on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Trujillo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Evan
Dunham
In 11:24, how much damage will he do? Dunham Trujillo
Significant Strikes61
Dunham's excellent striking offense will dominate Trujillo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:24
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Dunham's average takedown offense is matched by Trujillo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:24
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dunham is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dunham is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dunham is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Trujillo 8.6
fighter Dunham 9.1
Great striking by Dunham
91 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Tibau
68 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
28 strikes Jun 12, 2010 vs Griffin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Trujillo 8.7
fighter Dunham 8.6
Great takedowns by Trujillo
5 takedowns Dec 14, 2013 vs Bowling
1 takedown Dec 08, 2012 vs LeVesseur

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Trujillo 8.1
fighter Dunham 7.3
Great knockouts by Trujillo
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs Bowling
Round 2 Dec 08, 2012 vs LeVesseur
Round 1 Mar 06, 2010 vs Praxedes

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Trujillo 7.2
fighter Dunham 7.7
Great submissions by Dunham
Round 3 Jan 11, 2010 vs Escudero
Round 3 Jan 22, 2009 vs Akbari
Round 1 Jun 02, 2007 vs Daoust

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Trujillo 8.1
fighter Dunham 7.7
Fast finishes by Trujillo
395 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs Bowling
536 seconds Dec 08, 2012 vs LeVesseur
70 seconds Apr 13, 2012 vs Berto
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Trujillo
legend Dunham
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus