UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Trujillo vs Nurmagomedov

1,928

CageRank

WINNER
Nurmagomedov

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
82% chance Nurmagomedov
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 28 years vs 33 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly better striker 8.6 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Abel Trujillo
Heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Trujillo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nurmagomedov Trujillo
Significant Strikes64
Nurmagomedov's good striking offense may be a factor against Trujillo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Nurmagomedov's good takedown offense may be a factor against Trujillo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Trujillo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Abel
Trujillo
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Trujillo Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes60
Trujillo's average striking offense won't be a factor against Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Trujillo's good takedown offense is matched by Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Trujillo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Trujillo is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Trujillo is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.6
fighter Trujillo 8.6
Great striking by Nurmagomedov
54 strikes Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
22 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
25 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Tibau

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 9.0
fighter Trujillo 8.7
Great takedowns by Nurmagomedov
5 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
21 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Trujillo
3 takedowns Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
fighter Trujillo 8.1
Great knockouts by Trujillo
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs Bowling
Round 2 Dec 08, 2012 vs LeVesseur
Round 1 Mar 06, 2010 vs Praxedes

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
fighter Trujillo 7.2
Great submissions by Nurmagomedov
Round 3 Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 1 Aug 05, 2011 vs Mamedov
Round 1 Nov 03, 2009 vs Shamkhalaev

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
fighter Trujillo 8.1
Fast finishes by Nurmagomedov
115 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
728 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
213 seconds Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 25, 2013UFC 160
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR2 SUB
1,8502,064
1,8272,086
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nurmagomedov
legend Trujillo
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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