UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - dos Anjos vs Lawler

2,132

CageRank

WINNER
Lawler

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
57% chance Lawler
WILL WIN

2,180

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Robbie Lawler
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.0 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.9 vs 9.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Advantages for Rafael dos Anjos
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.4 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.3 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Lawler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Anjos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robbie
Lawler
In 12:35, how much damage will he do? Lawler dos Anjos
Significant Strikes52
Lawler's good striking offense is matched by dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:35
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lawler's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:35
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lawler has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lawler is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lawler is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
dos Anjos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lawler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
dos Anjos
In 12:35, how much damage will he do? dos Anjos Lawler
Significant Strikes46
dos Anjos's average striking offense won't be a factor against Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:35
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
dos Anjos's good takedown offense may be a factor against Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:35
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Anjos has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter dos Anjos 8.5
Great striking by Lawler
44 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs MacDonald
9 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
8 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lawler 7.4
fighter dos Anjos 8.8
Great takedowns by dos Anjos
2 takedowns Aug 28, 2013 vs Cerrone
4 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Bocek
2 takedowns Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lawler 9.3
fighter dos Anjos 7.1
Great knockouts by Lawler
Round 1 Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
Round 2 Jul 23, 2005 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lawler 6.3
fighter dos Anjos 7.7
Great submissions by dos Anjos
Round 1 May 15, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 2 Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim
Round 2 Aug 04, 2007 vs Cherman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter dos Anjos 8.0
Fast finishes by Lawler
237 seconds Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
213 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
22 seconds Oct 21, 2006 vs Villasenor
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lawler
legend dos Anjos
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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