UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - dos Anjos vs Ferguson

2,132

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
dos Anjos

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
70% chance dos Anjos
WILL WIN

1,986

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rafael dos Anjos
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.2 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Tony Ferguson
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.0 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
dos Anjos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ferguson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
dos Anjos
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? dos Anjos Ferguson
Significant Strikes71
dos Anjos's average striking offense is matched by Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
dos Anjos's good takedown offense is matched by Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Anjos has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Ferguson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Anjos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tony
Ferguson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ferguson dos Anjos
Significant Strikes57
Ferguson's good striking offense is matched by dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Ferguson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ferguson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ferguson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ferguson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter dos Anjos 8.5
fighter Ferguson 8.6
Great striking by Ferguson
5 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
61 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Edwards
31 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 8.8
fighter Ferguson 8.1
Great takedowns by dos Anjos
2 takedowns Aug 28, 2013 vs Cerrone
4 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Bocek
2 takedowns Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Anjos 7.1
fighter Ferguson 8.8
Great knockouts by Ferguson
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Nijem
Round 4 Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 7.7
fighter Ferguson 7.2
Great submissions by dos Anjos
Round 1 May 15, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 2 Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim
Round 2 Aug 04, 2007 vs Cherman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Anjos 8.0
fighter Ferguson 8.8
Fast finishes by Ferguson
112 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
300 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
1055 seconds Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 5, 2016UFC Fight Night 98
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XX
00
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Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Anjos
legend Ferguson
Read More
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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