UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - dos Anjos vs Woodley

2,132

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
dos Anjos

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
56% chance dos Anjos
WILL WIN

2,090

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rafael dos Anjos
Stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Tyron Woodley
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.0 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
dos Anjos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Woodley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
dos Anjos
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? dos Anjos Woodley
Significant Strikes50
dos Anjos's average striking offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
dos Anjos's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Anjos has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Woodley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Anjos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyron
Woodley
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Woodley dos Anjos
Significant Strikes67
Woodley's good striking offense is matched by dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Woodley's average takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Woodley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Woodley is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Woodley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter dos Anjos 8.5
fighter Woodley 8.9
Great striking by Woodley
22 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
15 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
20 strikes Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 8.8
fighter Woodley 8.4
Great takedowns by dos Anjos
2 takedowns Aug 28, 2013 vs Cerrone
4 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Bocek
2 takedowns Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Anjos 7.1
fighter Woodley 8.5
Great knockouts by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
Round 1 Oct 09, 2010 vs Galvao

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 7.7
fighter Woodley 7.7
Great submissions by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Round 2 Sep 25, 2009 vs Light
Round 1 Jun 06, 2009 vs Woods

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Anjos 8.0
fighter Woodley 8.9
Fast finishes by Woodley
278 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
36 seconds Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
172 seconds Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Anjos
legend Woodley
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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