UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bocek vs dos Anjos

1,981

CageRank

WINNER
dos Anjos

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
70% chance dos Anjos
WILL WIN

2,132

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rafael dos Anjos
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.7 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 32 years vs 35 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Mark Bocek
Significantly better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
dos Anjos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bocek’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
dos Anjos
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? dos Anjos Bocek
Significant Strikes55
dos Anjos's average striking offense won't be a factor against Bocek's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
dos Anjos's good takedown offense is matched by Bocek's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Anjos has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Bocek on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Anjos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Bocek
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bocek dos Anjos
Significant Strikes46
Bocek's average striking offense won't be a factor against dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Bocek's excellent takedown offense will dominate dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bocek is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bocek has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bocek has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter dos Anjos 8.5
fighter Bocek 8.3
Great striking by dos Anjos
39 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Cerrone
66 strikes May 18, 2013 vs Dunham
54 strikes Nov 17, 2012 vs Bocek

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 8.8
fighter Bocek 9.2
Great takedowns by Bocek
5 takedowns Apr 21, 2012 vs Alessio
5 takedowns Dec 10, 2011 vs Lentz
1 takedown Dec 11, 2010 vs Hazelett

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Anjos 7.1
fighter Bocek 6.7
Great knockouts by dos Anjos
Round 1 Dec 19, 2015 vs Cerrone
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Sotiropoulos
Round 2 Apr 16, 2005 vs Arinelli

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 7.7
fighter Bocek 8.2
Great submissions by Bocek
Round 1 Dec 11, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Dec 05, 2009 vs Brammer
Round 1 Mar 28, 2007 vs Davis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Anjos 8.0
fighter Bocek 8.0
Fast finishes by Bocek
153 seconds Dec 11, 2010 vs Hazelett
216 seconds Dec 05, 2009 vs Brammer
155 seconds Mar 28, 2007 vs Davis
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 17, 2012UFC 154
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R1 SUBX
2,0011,988
1,9492,040
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Anjos
legend Bocek
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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