UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cruickshank vs Masvidal

1,939

CageRank

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
74% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Significantly better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.2 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Daron Cruickshank
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Slightly better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cruickshank’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Cruickshank
Significant Strikes73
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Cruickshank's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Cruickshank's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Cruickshank on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daron
Cruickshank
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cruickshank Masvidal
Significant Strikes58
Cruickshank's average striking offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cruickshank's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cruickshank has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cruickshank is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cruickshank is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Cruickshank 8.4
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Cruickshank 8.0
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Cruickshank 8.7
Great knockouts by Cruickshank
Round 2 Jan 25, 2014 vs Rio
Round 2 Dec 08, 2012 vs Martinez
Round 1 Jun 17, 2011 vs Cardinal

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Cruickshank 6.3
Great submissions by Masvidal
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Chiesa
Round 3 Jun 19, 2009 vs Reynolds

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Cruickshank 8.1
Fast finishes by Cruickshank
596 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Rio
477 seconds Dec 08, 2012 vs Martinez
275 seconds Jun 17, 2011 vs Cardinal
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 26, 2014UFC on Fox 12
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Cruickshank
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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