UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jones vs Jackson

2,377

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
84% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,095

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 185 cm More than 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much longer winning streak 13 fights vs 5 fights More than 2.5x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.6 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.9 vs 8.6 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
A lot taller 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly younger 29 years vs 38 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Quinton Jackson
Slightly better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jackson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jones Jackson
Significant Strikes93
Jones's excellent striking offense will dominate Jackson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Jones's excellent takedown offense will dominate Jackson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Jackson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Quinton
Jackson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jackson Jones
Significant Strikes39
Jackson's average striking offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Jackson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jackson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jackson is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jackson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter Jackson 8.6
Great striking by Jones
20 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
105 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
61 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter Jackson 8.1
Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
1 takedown Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Jackson 8.6
Great knockouts by Jackson
Round 1 Dec 27, 2008 vs Silva
Round 1 May 26, 2007 vs Liddell
Round 2 Nov 09, 2003 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Jackson 6.6
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Jackson 8.3
Fast finishes by Jones
273 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
974 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson
757 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 24, 2011UFC 135
team
VS
team
R4 SUBX
XDEC
2,0892,187
2,1532,123
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Jackson
Read More
Jones vs Silva
Fantasy Cage Match
Jackson vs Emelianenko
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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