UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jones vs Belfort

2,377

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
71% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 7.5 More than 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.9 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 188 cm Around 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly younger 29 years vs 40 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better takedown defense 9.9 vs 9.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 9.7 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 8.5 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 8.9 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Harder to hit 9.8 vs 9.6 Almost the same
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jones Belfort
Significant Strikes64
Jones's excellent striking offense is matched by Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Jones's excellent takedown offense is matched by Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Belfort Jones
Significant Strikes58
Belfort's excellent striking offense is matched by Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter Belfort 9.2
Great striking by Jones
20 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
105 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
61 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter Belfort 7.6
Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
1 takedown Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Belfort 10.0
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Belfort 6.9
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Belfort 10.0
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 22, 2012UFC 152
team
VS
team
R4 SUBX
R1 KOX
2,2542,117
2,2862,086
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Belfort
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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