UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jones vs dos Santos

2,377

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
84% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,091

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 7.7 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.9 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.9 vs 9.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Junior dos Santos
Significantly heavier hands 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 239 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jones dos Santos
Significant Strikes89
Jones's excellent striking offense will dominate dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Jones's excellent takedown offense will dominate dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
dos Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Junior
dos Santos
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? dos Santos Jones
Significant Strikes72
dos Santos's excellent striking offense is matched by Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
dos Santos's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter dos Santos 9.6
Great striking by dos Santos
59 strikes May 26, 2012 vs Mir
8 strikes Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
70 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter dos Santos 7.7
Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
1 takedown Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter dos Santos 9.2
Great knockouts by dos Santos
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs Mir
Round 1 Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
Round 1 Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter dos Santos 6.9
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter dos Santos 8.6
Fast finishes by Jones
273 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
974 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson
757 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend dos Santos
Read More
Jones vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
dos Santos vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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