Jon Jones Bones 23-1

Weight 205 lbs
Height 6' 4"
Reach 85"
Age 30

Ryan Bader 24-5 Darth

205 lbs
6' 2"
74"
34

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jones vs Bader

CageRank

WINNER

85% chance Jones
WILL WIN

CageRank

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Jon Jones

Much longer winning streak	14 fights	vs	3 fights	Around 4.8x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Much longer reach	215 cm	vs	188 cm	Around 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker	9.6	vs	8.7	Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense	9.4	vs	8.7	Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes	8.9	vs	8.1	More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense	8.2	vs	7.3	More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense	9.9	vs	9.2	Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw	9.7	vs	8.8	More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands	8.5	vs	7.6	More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight	9.6	vs	8.8	Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller	193 cm	vs	188 cm	Around 5% taller
Younger	30 years	vs	34 years	More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense	8.8	vs	8.5	Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit	9.6	vs	9.4	Almost the same

Advantages for Ryan Bader

From what we can tell, Jon Jones dominates Ryan Bader in every way.

Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bader’s defensive skills

Predictions For Jon Jones
In 9:33, how much damage will he do?	Jones		Bader
Significant Strikes49 Jones's excellent striking offense is matched by Bader's defense Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:33	Excellent Striking	vs	Excellent Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Jones's excellent takedown offense is matched by Bader's defense Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:33	Excellent Takedown ability	vs	Excellent Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission	Excellent Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Jones has a reasonable chance to win by decision	Excellent Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability

Bader on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills

Predictions For Ryan Bader
In 9:33, how much damage will he do?	Bader		Jones
Significant Strikes27 Bader's good striking offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:33	Good Striking	vs	Excellent Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1 Bader's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:33	Average Takedown ability	vs	Excellent Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Bader is unlikely to win by knockout	Average Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Bader is unlikely to win by submission	Average Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Bader has a reasonable chance to win by decision	Excellent Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability