CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Jones vs Bader
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much longer reach | 215 cm | vs | 188 cm | Around 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance |
Better striker | 9.6 | vs | 8.7 | Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
Significantly stronger takedown offense | 9.4 | vs | 8.7 | Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Significantly fast finishes | 8.9 | vs | 8.1 | More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Significantly better submission offense | 8.2 | vs | 7.3 | More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
Significantly better takedown defense | 9.9 | vs | 9.2 | Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down |
Significantly stronger jaw | 9.7 | vs | 8.8 | More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
Significantly heavier hands | 8.5 | vs | 7.6 | More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders |
Puts up a fight | 9.6 | vs | 8.8 | Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
Taller | 193 cm | vs | 188 cm | Around 5% taller |
Younger | 30 years | vs | 34 years | More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Better submission defense | 8.8 | vs | 8.5 | Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
Harder to hit | 9.6 | vs | 9.4 | Almost the same |
Advantages for Ryan Bader
From what we can tell, Jon Jones dominates Ryan Bader in every way.
Jones on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bader’s defensive skills
Predictions For Jon Jones |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 9:33, how much damage will he do? | Jones | Bader | |
Significant Strikes49
Jones's excellent striking offense is matched by Bader's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:33 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns2
Jones's excellent takedown offense is matched by Bader's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:33 |
Excellent
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
Bader on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For Ryan Bader |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 9:33, how much damage will he do? | Bader | Jones | |
Significant Strikes27
Bader's good striking offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:33 |
Good
Striking
|
vs |
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
Bader's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:33 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Bader is unlikely to win by knockout |
Average
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Bader is unlikely to win by submission |
Average
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Bader has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Jones
20 strikes | Apr 27, 2013 | vs Sonnen |
105 strikes | Apr 21, 2012 | vs Evans |
61 strikes | Sep 24, 2011 | vs Jackson |
takedowns
Who's going to take it to the ground?Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns | Apr 27, 2013 | vs Sonnen |
1 takedown | Apr 21, 2012 | vs Evans |
2 takedowns | Sep 24, 2011 | vs Jackson |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Jones
Round 1 | Apr 27, 2013 | vs Sonnen |
Round 3 | Mar 19, 2011 | vs Rua |
Round 1 | Aug 01, 2010 | vs Matyushenko |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 | Sep 22, 2012 | vs Belfort |
Round 2 | Dec 10, 2011 | vs Machida |
Round 4 | Sep 24, 2011 | vs Jackson |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Jones
273 seconds | Apr 27, 2013 | vs Sonnen |
974 seconds | Sep 24, 2011 | vs Jackson |
757 seconds | Mar 19, 2011 | vs Rua |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?